The workhorse, and what it assumes
This is the equation regulatory air quality runs on, worldwide. Before using it, say its assumptions out loud: steady wind, steady emission, flat terrain, no chemistry, no deposition, and a concentration profile that is exactly normal in both crosswind directions. None of them is true. The model survives because its errors are known and roughly conservative — a factor of two on an hourly average counts as good agreement, and anyone quoting it to three figures has misunderstood what they are holding.
The plume's width comes first: , the Pasquill–Gifford power law. is the downwind distance in metres, and are bare fitted numbers read off a table for the hour's stability class (A very unstable, D neutral, F stable), and is the spread in metres. Two spreads are needed and they have their own separate coefficient pairs: — sigma-y — is the crosswind spread, and — sigma-z — the vertical one.
Then the plume itself: — C equals Q over pi sigma-y sigma-z u, times e to the minus H squared over two sigma-z squared. is the ground-level concentration on the centreline, the emission rate in g/s, the wind at stack height in m/s, and the effective stack height in metres — steel plus rise, the number the last lesson built. Note the and not : the ground reflection is already folded in, because at ground level the real plume and its mirror image contribute equally and the 2 cancels.
The exponential is where the whole answer lives. It asks how many vertical spreads the plume is sitting ABOVE the ground, and it falls off ferociously: at it is 0.61, at it is 0.135, at it is 0.011. Drop it and you have not made a small error — you have computed the concentration up on the plume centreline, hundreds of metres over the receptor's head.
And the closed form for the worst case, at whatever distance it happens: . The is there because the maximum sits exactly where , and the exponential is precisely at that point. Read the and the economics of the whole industry falls out: double the effective height and the worst hour is quartered. That is why plume rise is worth more than steel, and why a scrubber that cools a plume can make the ground-level number worse while cleaning the gas.