Real Interest Rate (Fisher Equation)

Also known as inflation adjusted return · Fisher equation

rreal=1+i1+f1r_{\text{real}} = \frac{1 + i}{1 + f} - 1

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Earning 8% while prices rise 3% does not leave you 5% better off. The exact relationship, Irving Fisher's, is multiplicative: 1+r extreal=(1+i)/(1+f)1 + r_{\ ext{real}} = (1+i)/(1+f), which gives 1.08/1.031=4.854%1.08/1.03 - 1 = 4.854\%. The rough subtraction overstates the gain by about fifteen basis points here, and the error grows quickly as either rate rises. At 15% nominal against 10% inflation the subtraction says 5% while the truth is 4.55%.

Turned around, it answers the contractor's question about escalation clauses. To clear a genuine 5% while inflation runs at 10%, the nominal rate has to be 1.05 imes1.101=15.5%1.05 \ imes 1.10 - 1 = 15.5\%, not 15%. The same logic applies to multi-year service agreements, wage schedules and any long-dated quote: an escalator that merely matches inflation preserves your position and gains you nothing.

Real Interest Rate (Fisher Equation)
rreal=1+i1+f1r_{\text{real}} = \frac{1 + i}{1 + f} - 1
Where
  • rrealr_{\text{real}}= Real rate
  • ii= Nominal rate
  • ff= Inflation rate